Pre-tourney Rankings
Wichita St.
Missouri Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.5#24
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#57
Pace67.1#251
Improvement+4.3#27

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#82
First Shot+2.7#99
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#89
Layup/Dunks+1.0#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#132
Freethrows+1.6#71
Improvement-0.9#226

Defense
Total Defense+10.6#2
First Shot+8.4#3
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#14
Layups/Dunks+4.4#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#6
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#94
Freethrows-1.2#249
Improvement+5.2#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four29.5% n/a n/a
First Round30.8% n/a n/a
Second Round16.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.3% n/a n/a
Final Four1.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 299   Charleston Southern W 88-63 98%     1 - 0 +13.1 +8.5 +4.4
  Nov 17, 2015 64   @ Tulsa L 67-77 62%     1 - 1 +1.3 -2.4 +3.9
  Nov 26, 2015 41   USC L 69-72 64%     1 - 2 +7.9 -6.8 +15.0
  Nov 27, 2015 81   Alabama L 60-64 77%     1 - 3 +3.0 -1.8 +4.4
  Nov 29, 2015 21   Iowa L 61-84 49%     1 - 4 -8.1 -1.0 -8.6
  Dec 05, 2015 211   @ Saint Louis W 68-53 91%     2 - 4 +14.7 +8.3 +8.6
  Dec 09, 2015 115   UNLV W 56-50 90%     3 - 4 +6.5 -8.6 +15.6
  Dec 12, 2015 26   Utah W 67-50 52%     4 - 4 +31.2 +10.7 +23.2
  Dec 19, 2015 28   @ Seton Hall L 76-80 OT 43%     4 - 5 +12.3 +2.2 +10.6
  Dec 22, 2015 141   Nevada W 98-69 92%     5 - 5 +27.8 +18.5 +6.1
  Dec 31, 2015 254   Drake W 67-47 97%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +11.6 -7.6 +20.7
  Jan 03, 2016 314   @ Bradley W 85-58 97%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +19.7 +20.6 +0.8
  Jan 06, 2016 78   Evansville W 67-64 84%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +7.1 +5.0 +2.5
  Jan 09, 2016 135   @ Southern Illinois W 83-58 82%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +29.9 +12.5 +17.5
  Jan 13, 2016 221   @ Missouri St. W 78-62 91%     10 - 5 5 - 0 +15.4 +8.0 +7.6
  Jan 17, 2016 165   Indiana St. W 82-62 94%     11 - 5 6 - 0 +16.7 +9.2 +6.9
  Jan 20, 2016 80   @ Northern Iowa W 74-55 67%     12 - 5 7 - 0 +28.9 +19.3 +12.7
  Jan 23, 2016 314   Bradley W 88-54 99%     13 - 5 8 - 0 +20.8 +17.2 +4.4
  Jan 27, 2016 175   Loyola Chicago W 80-54 94%     14 - 5 9 - 0 +22.3 +13.1 +11.0
  Jan 31, 2016 78   @ Evansville W 78-65 67%     15 - 5 10 - 0 +22.9 +2.9 +18.6
  Feb 03, 2016 135   Southern Illinois W 76-55 92%     16 - 5 11 - 0 +20.1 -1.2 +20.4
  Feb 06, 2016 121   @ Illinois St. L 53-58 79%     16 - 6 11 - 1 +0.9 -9.6 +10.0
  Feb 09, 2016 254   @ Drake W 74-48 94%     17 - 6 12 - 1 +23.4 +2.1 +23.0
  Feb 13, 2016 80   Northern Iowa L 50-53 84%     17 - 7 12 - 2 +1.1 -11.6 +12.2
  Feb 15, 2016 112   New Mexico St. W 71-41 90%     18 - 7 +30.7 +9.8 +24.3
  Feb 18, 2016 221   Missouri St. W 99-68 96%     19 - 7 13 - 2 +24.5 +16.6 +5.4
  Feb 21, 2016 165   @ Indiana St. W 84-51 87%     20 - 7 14 - 2 +35.5 +11.1 +22.3
  Feb 24, 2016 175   @ Loyola Chicago W 76-54 87%     21 - 7 15 - 2 +24.2 +10.2 +14.9
  Feb 27, 2016 121   Illinois St. W 74-58 91%     22 - 7 16 - 2 +16.0 +5.2 +11.3
  Mar 04, 2016 175   Loyola Chicago W 66-58 92%     23 - 7 +7.2 -3.3 +10.7
  Mar 05, 2016 80   Northern Iowa L 52-57 OT 76%     23 - 8 +2.0 -12.7 +14.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 40.6% 40.6% 10.8 0.0 0.3 1.4 7.0 29.8 2.1 59.4 40.6%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 40.6% 0.0% 40.6% 10.8 0.0 0.3 1.4 7.0 29.8 2.1 59.4 40.6%